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--- admb_real:monotonizing_surveys [2010/09/21 13:51] – lennartfr
+++ admb_real:monotonizing_surveys [2010/09/21 14:44] (current) – lennartfr
@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
 ===== Making survey data monotonic =====
-As one can observe in [[admb_real:vpa_estimates|plots of the survey indices]], these are frequently not monotonic. For this reason we make the survey indices nonicreasing by removing the offending indides, and repeat the experiments in the section about [[admb_real:two_qs_cohorts_per_run|choosing the number of cohorts per run]].
+As one can observe in plots of the survey indices [[admb_real:sdreport_and_vpa|(see top here)]], these are frequently not monotonic. For this reason we make the survey indices nonicreasing by removing the offending indides, and repeat the experiments in the section about [[admb_real:two_qs_cohorts_per_run|choosing the number of cohorts per run]]. To be more specific, we remove the observations of a cohort which are smaller than subsequent observations.
+=== Summary ===
+TBD.
+==== First cohort born in 1994 ====
+^ Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^
+| 1 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_94_94.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 5  Objective function value = -3.08697  Maximum gradient component = 1.69126e-05
+# N0:
+.29757
+# q02:
+.605650
+# q3plus:
+.354787
+# logs:
+-0.885871081891
+# M:
+.499998979520
+ </file> |
+| 2 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_94_95.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 6  Objective function value = -6.85054  Maximum gradient component = 6.41162e-05
+# N0:
+.77137 6.68468
+# q02:
+.412709
+# q3plus:
+.290194
+# logs:
+-0.928159057590
+# M:
+.499999742594
+ </file>  |
+| 3 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_94_96.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 7  Objective function value = -10.3721  Maximum gradient component = 2.04829e-05
+# N0:
+.24794 8.95292 9.36205
+# q02:
+.275668
+# q3plus:
+.183000
+# logs:
+-0.932172674583
+# M:
+.499999872250
+ </file>  |
+| 4 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_94_97.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par> # Number of parameters = 8  Objective function value = -9.88239  Maximum gradient component = 1.61960e-05
+# N0:
+.34875 9.10636 9.49745 9.18773
+# q02:
+.261406
+# q3plus:
+.180118
+# logs:
+-0.808824614075
+# M:
+.499999804090
+</file>  |
+==== First cohort born in 1995 ====
+^ Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^
+| 1 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_95_95.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 5  Objective function value = -5.15249  Maximum gradient component = 2.53430e-06
+# N0:
+.71856
+# q02:
+.278557
+# q3plus:
+.237080
+# logs:
+-1.14406139971
+# M:
+.499999698632
+ </file>  |
+| 2 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_95_96.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 6  Objective function value = -9.86903  Maximum gradient component = 6.77050e-05
+# N0:
+.6958 11.8592
+# q02:
+.182385
+# q3plus:
+.132361
+# logs:
+-1.11681438596
+# M:
+.499999817025
+ </file>  |
+| 3 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_95_97.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 7  Objective function value = -8.59159  Maximum gradient component = 3.32696e-05
+# N0:
+.8458 11.0748 10.9318
+# q02:
+.196332
+# q3plus:
+.145901
+# logs:
+-0.857982907239
+# M:
+.499999584145
+ </file>  |
+| 4 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_95_98.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 8  Objective function value = -9.29134  Maximum gradient component = 3.16538e-05
+# N0:
+.7913 21.2949 22.0305 14.3428
+# q02:
+.0797296
+# q3plus:
+.0678989
+# logs:
+-0.790354539022
+# M:
+.499999844255
+ </file>  |
+==== First cohort born in 1996 ====
+^ Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^
+| 1 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_96_96.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 5  Objective function value = -5.44246  Maximum gradient component = 8.80377e-05
+# N0:
+.7166
+# q02:
+.0988148
+# q3plus:
+.0620195
+# logs:
+-1.18030733268
+# M:
+.499998776989
+ </file>  |
+| 2 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_96_97.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 6  Objective function value = -4.36038  Maximum gradient component = 6.45188e-06
+# N0:
+.3269 13.3847
+# q02:
+.160961
+# q3plus:
+.113024
+# logs:
+-0.772523846511
+# M:
+.499978340306
+ </file>  |
+| 3 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_96_98.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 7  Objective function value = -5.97017  Maximum gradient component = 4.44568e-05
+# N0:
+.4555 29.7430 18.6543
+# q02:
+.0558861
+# q3plus:
+.0500025
+# logs:
+-0.748757059934
+# M:
+.499999418221
+ </file>  |
+| 4 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_96_99.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 8  Objective function value = -7.85681  Maximum gradient component = 4.30842e-05
+# N0:
+.0583 28.4144 17.6760 11.9686
+# q02:
+.0500004
+# q3plus:
+.0500001
+# logs:
+-0.753445416737
+# M:
+.486292217940
+ </file>  |
+==== First cohort born in 1997 ====
+^ Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^
+| 1 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_97_97.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 5  Objective function value = -0.576982  Maximum gradient component = 6.53503e-06
+# N0:
+.18481
+# q02:
+.572871
+# q3plus:
+.333259
+# logs:
+-0.572122768699
+# M:
+.389392591051
+ </file>  |
+| 2 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_97_98.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 6  Objective function value = -2.56523  Maximum gradient component = 2.18165e-05
+# N0:
+.7168 18.0327
+# q02:
+.0500009
+# q3plus:
+.0543061
+# logs:
+-0.660327137031
+# M:
+.499995000270
+ </file>  |
+| 3 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_97_99.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 7  Objective function value = -5.07237  Maximum gradient component = 8.93392e-05
+# N0:
+.7926 14.7673 9.86596
+# q02:
+.0500001
+# q3plus:
+.0544865
+# logs:
+-0.720537843156
+# M:
+.464181122587
+ </file>  |
+| 4 |{{:admb_real:cod_two_q_mono_vs_vpa_97_00.png?180|}} |<file txt cod.par># Number of parameters = 8  Objective function value = -8.16818  Maximum gradient component = 4.40661e-06
+# N0:
+.6570 13.2731 8.74892 18.7506
+# q02:
+.0517102
+# q3plus:
+.0500001
+# logs:
+-0.772272656988
+# M:
+.435222747275
+ </file>  |