admb_real:n3_cohorts_per_run_monotonic
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admb_real:n3_cohorts_per_run_monotonic [2010/09/23 13:41] – created lennartfr | admb_real:n3_cohorts_per_run_monotonic [2010/10/20 13:24] (current) – lennartfr | ||
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- | ====== Model estimating 3+ classes only --- monotonic survey data ===== | + | ====== Model estimating 3 year olds and older --- monotonic survey data ===== |
+ | FIXME **The plots in this section contain the following errors: | ||
+ | |||
+ | * The labels on the x-axis and the legend are three years older than they should be. (E.g. if it says 1997 it should be 1994.) | ||
+ | * The VPA plots (solid lines with stars) are of the wrong cohorts and should be disregarded. | ||
+ | |||
+ | In this section we repeat the experiments of [[admb_real: | ||
+ | |||
+ | This experiment is similar to [[admb_real: | ||
=== Summary === | === Summary === | ||
- | TBD. | + | |
+ | :!: The estimates for this experiments are much more consistent than for the experiments with nonmonotone survey data. However, they are also usually lower, as can be seen by comparing the following table with the corresponding table [[admb_real: | ||
+ | |||
+ | ^ N3< | ||
+ | ^ Single estimate |0.516109 | 0.289033 | 0.243818 | 0.443256 | | | | | ||
+ | ^ Multiple estimates | 0.513446 | 0.298678 | ||
+ | | | 0.509808 | 0.297279 | 0.250449 | | | | | | ||
+ | | |0.504020 | 0.294245 | 0.247969 | 0.484308 | | | | | ||
+ | | | | 0.286587 | 0.241295 | | | | | | ||
+ | | | | 0.293470 | 0.247051 | 0.483911 | | | | | ||
+ | | | | 0.371853 | 0.311810 | 0.615438 | 0.769912 | | | | ||
+ | | | | | 0.268437 | 0.529506 | | | | | ||
+ | | | | | 0.401105 | 0.812412 | 1.04852 | | | | ||
+ | | | | | 0.281835 | 0.552476 | 0.683516 | 0.566695 | | | ||
+ | | | | | | 0.645252 | 0.809032 | | | | ||
+ | | | | | | 0.433931 |0.524806 |0.413599 | | | ||
+ | | | | | | 0.406884 | 0.489518 | 0.380431 | 0.442819 | | ||
==== First cohort born 1994 ==== | ==== First cohort born 1994 ==== | ||
^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ||
- | |1 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |1 |{{: |
- | |2 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # N0: |
- | |3 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |
- | |4 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # q: |
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -0.922473038606 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.229629359685 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |2 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.02581794259 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.227541762701 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |3 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.07487783663 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.224407491868 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |4 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.20560858664 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.220722003756 | ||
+ | </ | ||
==== First cohort born 1995 ==== | ==== First cohort born 1995 ==== | ||
^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ||
- | |1 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |1 |{{: |
- | |2 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # N0: |
- | |3 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |
- | |4 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # q: |
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.20468309469 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.214608667980 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |2 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.26799574237 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.209539869492 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |3 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.44271797754 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.218665452260 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |4 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.30559636690 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.302854166936 | ||
+ | </ | ||
==== First cohort born 1996 ==== | ==== First cohort born 1996 ==== | ||
^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ||
- | |1 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |1 |{{: |
- | |2 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # N0: |
- | |3 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |
- | |4 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # q: |
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.49489079550 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.211927949874 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |2 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.68478868950 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.248314995512 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |3 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.36545147740 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.384113190246 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |4 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.28111344656 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.267739682105 | ||
+ | </ | ||
==== First cohort born 1997 ==== | ==== First cohort born 1997 ==== | ||
^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ^Num. cohorts ^ Trajectories ^ Estimates ^ | ||
- | |1 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |1 |{{: |
- | |2 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # N0: |
- | |3 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | |
- | |4 | |<file txt cod.par> </ | + | # q: |
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -2.63452610841 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.188376555429 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |2 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.47663242459 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.322592116138 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |3 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.34998941565 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.182910597292 | ||
+ | </ | ||
+ | |4 |{{: | ||
+ | # N0: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # q: | ||
+ | | ||
+ | # logs: | ||
+ | -1.41912547614 | ||
+ | # M: | ||
+ | 0.157823692174 | ||
+ | </ | ||
admb_real/n3_cohorts_per_run_monotonic.1285249274.txt.gz · Last modified: 2010/09/23 13:41 by lennartfr